BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Northwestern St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 76 Conference: Southland Conference Record: (3-6) Overall: (3-9) Overall Strength =  121.37

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/29/2019 Away    L   116.78  20  42   1B  30 (  7-  5) Tennessee-Martin       -6.44    -15.56                      
  2 09/07/2019 Home    L    90.50   7  33    2  54 (  5-  6) Midwestern St         -32.71      6.71                      
  3 09/14/2019 Away    L   143.46  14  65   1A   2 ( 15-  0) LSU                    20.24 *  -71.24                      
  4 09/21/2019 Away    L *  97.61  21  48   1B  72 (  5-  7) Houston Baptist       -25.60     -1.40                      
  5 09/28/2019 Home    L * 122.25  27  44   1B  14 (  8-  5) SE Louisiana           -0.96    -16.04                      
  6 10/12/2019 Away    L * 129.20  35  45   1B  25 (  9-  5) Nicholls St             5.99    -15.99                      
  7 10/19/2019 Home    L * 133.68  30  31   1B  29 (  9-  4) Central Arkansas       10.46    -11.46                      
  8 10/26/2019 Away    W * 128.40  44  41   1B  70 (  5-  7) Incarnate Word          5.19     -2.19                      
  9 11/02/2019 Away    L * 125.77  20  30   1B  41 (  7-  5) McNeese St              2.55    -12.55                      
 10 11/09/2019 Home    W * 136.68  34  13   1B 100 (  4-  8) Lamar                  13.47      7.53                      
 11 11/16/2019 Away    W * 143.03  31  28   1B  24 (  7-  5) Sam Houston St         19.82    -16.82                      
 12 11/21/2019 Home    L * 111.20  20  32   1B  69 (  3-  9) Stephen F. Austin     -12.01      0.01                      
      Averages             123.21  25.2 37.7

Best game:  143.46 = 51 point loss to LSU
Worst game:  90.50 = 26 point loss to Midwestern St
Team stdev:  16.72